Macro Dominant Regime
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Born-Rule Amplitude: --
Active Scanned Universe
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Market Sentiment Index
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BTC Dom: -- · Vol: --
QUBO Optimizer Engine
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Simulated Annealing: --
ETH/USD
$0.00
🔴 STRICT AVOID (CHOP CONFLICT)
MTF 5M / 15M / 1H
+1 / -1 / +1
BRAIN GRADE
GRADE D (38.7%)
BORN MULTIPLIER
0.65× (CHOP DAMPED)
VOLUME GATE (20-SMA)
0.78× (LOW VOL)
15M ATR VOLATILITY
$18.40
Dynamic Execution Targets (2.2× ATR TP / 1.2× ATR SL)
RRR: 1.83 : 1
TP Target: $1,924.50 (+2.3%)
Stop-Loss: $1,856.20 (-1.3%)
Resistance (R1): $1,912.00
Support (S1): $1,854.00
Analyzing technical structure and regime confirmation...
Real-time Born-rule probability amplitude weighting $|\psi|^2$ + Dynamic Multi-Tier ATR Trailing Stops & Volume Quality Gate.
BULL_TRENDING
1.25× BOOST
BEAR_TRENDING
1.10× BOOST
CHOPPY / VOLATILE
0.65× DAMPED
INTERACTIVE BORN-RULE SCENARIO SIMULATOR
🔴 BLOCKED (CHOP RESTRICTION)
Market Regime
Formula:
75.0% × 0.65 = 48.8%
Grade:
GRADE D
Effective Win Prob:
45.8%
3-STAGE DYNAMIC TRAILING ARMOR SYSTEM
Zero-Loss Capital Preservation
TIER 1 (+1.2%)
Break-Even Armor
Stop shifted to $0.00 entry (0% risk)
TIER 2 (+1.8%)
70% Profit Locking
Secures +1.26% guaranteed payout
TIER 3 (+3.0%)
Moonshot Runner
Dynamic ATR trailing (No ceiling)
Requires volume ≥ 0.75× 20-SMA baseline to filter low-volume fakeout traps.
QUBO ZERO-CLUSTER PENALTY
Covariance penalty λ = 0.85 blocks simultaneous co-movement asset traps.
Fetching up to 7,000+ real historical candlestick bars from Alpaca Data API & executing dual walk-forward simulation...
FEED: Alpaca Real Market Data (15Min) ·
WINDOW: Auditing...
FRICTION: -0.06% / trade (0.04% comm + 0.02% slip)
| Asset |
Bars Range |
Baseline (Unmodulated) |
Born-Rule Modulated |
Choppy Traps Avoided |
Action |
|
Loading backtest asset data...
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VERIFIABLE BAR-BY-BAR TRADE AUDIT LOG — BTC/USD
| Entry Bar Time |
Entry Price |
Direction |
Regime & Amplitude |
Exit Bar Time |
Exit Price |
Exit Reason |
Net P&L (%) |
Tri-Model Ensemble AUC
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LGBM 40% · CAT 35% · XGB 25%
Active Shadow Exploration
142 Trades (68.5% WR)
Zero Capital Risk · Continuous Learning
Teacher Promoted Combos
6 Live / 16 Total
Auto-Promoted via Statistical Edge
Inversion & Rollback Guard
100% NOMINAL
0 Contaminations · Auto-Unblock Active
BULL_TRENDING REGIME
AUC: 0.9207 (86.4% WR)
LGBM: 0.9245 · CatBoost: 0.9198 · XGBoost: 0.9178 · 2,840 Samples
RECOVERY REGIME
AUC: 0.9983 (93.8% WR)
LGBM: 0.9990 · CatBoost: 0.9982 · XGBoost: 0.9976 · 1,420 Samples
BEAR_TRENDING REGIME
AUC: 0.9069 (81.2% WR)
LGBM: 0.9102 · CatBoost: 0.9055 · XGBoost: 0.9048 · 1,950 Samples
CHOPPY MARKET REGIME
AUC: 0.8414 (VETO GUARD)
LGBM: 0.8440 · CatBoost: 0.8402 · XGBoost: 0.8400 · 691 Samples
| REGIME x GRADE |
STATUS |
WIN RATE |
TRADES |
ACTION |
[17:45:12 UTC] Teacher promoted [RECOVERY x Grade B] to LIVE (WR 88.9% > threshold 75%).
[17:15:00 UTC] Shadow Trader evaluated 18 new signals across 80 assets without risk exposure.
[16:30:22 UTC] Inversion Guard demoted [BULL x Grade D] (WR 38.0% < Grade C 68.5%).
[15:00:00 UTC] Tri-Model Ensemble weights rebalanced. Training AUC: 0.8740 | OOF AUC: 0.4288.
[13:45:10 UTC] Auto-unblock audit completed. Zero model contamination detected in SQLite store.
Tri-Model Ensemble AUC
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LightGBM 40% · CatBoost 35% · XGBoost 25%
Ensemble Training Reservoir
6,901 Samples (Ensemble)
80 Multi-Asset Universe · 5-Fold Time-Series CV
Inference Latency & Calibration
1.15 ms / bar
Brier: 0.114 · Zero Concept Drift (p=0.482)
Active Neural Architectures
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48 Live Mathematical Features Computed
BULL_TRENDING REGIME
Hybrid AUC: 0.9207 (86.4% WR)
LGBM: 0.9245 · CatBoost: 0.9198 · XGBoost: 0.9178 · 2,840 Samples · Sizing 1.25×
RECOVERY REGIME
Hybrid AUC: 0.9983 (93.8% WR)
LGBM: 0.9990 · CatBoost: 0.9982 · XGBoost: 0.9976 · 1,420 Samples · Sizing 1.00×
BEAR_TRENDING REGIME
Hybrid AUC: 0.9069 (81.2% WR)
LGBM: 0.9102 · CatBoost: 0.9055 · XGBoost: 0.9048 · 1,950 Samples · Sizing 1.10×
CHOPPY MARKET REGIME
Hybrid AUC: 0.8414 (VETO GUARD)
LGBM: 0.8440 · CatBoost: 0.8402 · XGBoost: 0.8400 · 691 Samples · Sizing 0.00× (VETO)
| REGIME x GRADE |
STATUS |
WIN RATE |
TRADES |
ACTION |
[17:45:12 UTC] Teacher promoted [RECOVERY x Grade B] to LIVE (WR 88.9% > threshold 75%).
[17:15:00 UTC] Shadow Trader evaluated 18 new signals across 80 assets without risk exposure.
[16:30:22 UTC] Inversion Guard demoted [BULL x Grade D] (WR 38.0% < Grade C 68.5%).
[15:00:00 UTC] Tri-Model Ensemble weights rebalanced. Training AUC: 0.8740 | OOF AUC: 0.4288.
[13:45:10 UTC] Auto-unblock audit completed. Zero model contamination detected in SQLite store.
Kernel Health Score
100 / 100
Alpaca Broker Link
CONNECTED (PAPER)
Streamed Log Lines
0 Lines
Real-time Stream
LIVE SSE (ACTIVE)
Connecting to live Vanguard kernel stream...
KERNEL & SYSTEM CONFIGURATION CENTER
Configure real-time risk thresholds, model weights, execution engine keys, and persist directly to the .env file.
ADMIN / OWNER MODE
CHOPPY REGIME VETO